Establishment’s views and plans for the next 30 years:

• 2010 report: Ministry of Defence Strategic Trends Programme Global Strategic Trends – Out to 2040 (4th Edition) (Current link) (Local link)

“The developed world is likely to experience a degree of transformation as it moves from a consumerist society based on freedom of choice to a more constrained, sustainable societal model that provides financial and social rewards to encourage greener practices and discourage waste.” (p. 27)

“The social tensions caused by intrusive global culture are likely to be most acute amongst those who seek to maintain their indigenous and traditional customs and beliefs, and feel threatened by changes. This is likely to lead to an increasing number of individuals and groups, many of whom form around single issues that differentiate them from wider society, becoming marginalised and possibly radicalised.” (p. 29)

etc. etc.

• 2006 report: UK Ministry Defence: The DCDC (Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre) Global Strategic Trends Programme 2007-2036 (3rd Edition) (Local link)

• Commentary at oldthinkernews.com, March 18, 2010 – New MoD Strategic Report Extends Vision to 2040

• Commentary at cuttingthroughthematrix.com, March 18, 2010 (podcast)